SportsLines model is leaning under on the total. In fact, its calling for 44 total points.

Author : juweldit205
Publish Date : 2021-01-09 19:06:21


SportsLines model is leaning under on the total. In fact, its calling for 44 total points.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will try to make a deep playoff run when they take on the Washington Football Team on Saturday in the 2021 NFL Playoffs. The Buccaneers (11-5) are led by six-time Super Bowl champion Tom Brady, who has 30 playoff wins and 73 postseason passing touchdowns. Washington (7-9) will counter with a solid defense led by Chase Young, who led the team with 7.5 sacks. Washington also won its first division title in five years.

Kickoff from FedEx Field is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The Buccaneers are eight-point favorites in the latest Buccaneers vs. Washington odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 44.5. Before making any Buccaneers vs. Washington picks, check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 23-13 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning well over $800. The model also enters the 2021 NFL Playoffs on an incredible 119-77 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Washington vs. Buccaneers. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL lines and trends for Buccaneers vs. Washington:

Washington vs. Buccaneers spread: Buccaneers -8
Washington vs. Buccaneers over-under: 44.5 points
Washington vs. Buccaneers money line: Buccaneers -400, Washington +320
TB: Scored a touchdown in 42 of 61 trips inside the red zone this season
WAS: 12-3 at home in the postseason during the Super Bowl era

Despite being age 43, Brady had one of his best regular seasons of his career. He completed 401 of 610 passes for 4,633 yards and 40 touchdowns. He was picked off 12 times and had a rating of 102.2. He threw for over 300 yards in seven games, including a season-high 399 yards against Atlanta in the season-finale. In his final three games of the season, Brady passed for 1,137 yards and 10 touchdowns.

The Bucs were 9-7 against the spread this season and have covered four of the last five games. Their point differential of plus-8.6 far exceeds Washington's plus-0.4.

Despite that, Tampa Bay is not a lock to cover the Buccaneers vs. Washington spread. That's because the Washington Football Team is looking for its 24th postseason victory and seventh win in the Wild Card round. It is led by quarterback Alex Smith, who has passed for 1,745 yards and scored 15 touchdowns against two interceptions in seven career postseason starts with San Francisco and Kansas City. Washington is 5-0 in his past five starts this season.

Running back Antonio Gibson had 11 rushing touchdowns this season, tied for the most among rookies with Jonathan Taylor of Indianapolis. He has rushed for touchdowns in three of his last four home games. For the season, Gibson led Washington with 170 carries for 795 yards.

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total. In fact, it's calling for 44 total points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick here. 

Tom Brady already holds dozens of NFL playoff records and he could add one more to his list on Saturday night if he can hook up with Rob Gronkowski for just one touchdown pass against Washington. 

Going into the wild-card round, Brady and Gronk have connected on a total of 12 postseason touchdowns, which is tied for the most in NFL history. The duo is currently tied with Joe Montana and Jerry Rice, who connected on 12 postseason scores during their eight seasons as teammates (1985-1992). As for Brady and Gronk, this will mark their 10th postseason together.

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