[[NFL>»2021]]Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills »LIVE Stream

Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills live stream, NFL Wild Card Playoffs, odds, TV channel, start time, how to watch

The Buffalo Bills will host the Indianapolis Colts from Bills Stadium on Saturday afternoon in the first game of Wild Card weekend.

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Indianapolis Colts VS Buffalo Bills 2021 Live Stream,Indianapolis Colts VS Buffalo Bills.
Colts VS Bills Live Stream,Colts VS Bills 2021 Live Stream,
NFL Wild Card 2021 Live online

The Bills are coming off a 30-point win over the Dolphins last Sunday where they took out the first team after halftime. Josh Allen has been incredible over the last few games and will look to continue his MVP run into the playoffs. As for the Colts, they are coming off a 14-point victory over the Jaguars last weekend. Philip Rivers has really taken control over the offense and will look for a big upset on Saturday.

Can Josh Allen and the Bills keep it rolling? This will be a fun one, here is everything you need to know to stream the action this afternoon.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills

Prediction: The Bills have been rolling along and look to be the hottest team in the league heading into the playoffs. I’m going to ride with Buffalo in this game, I think they win by at least a touchdown.

Bet: Buffalo Bills -6.5

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NFL Football Odds and Betting Lines

NFL odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds last updated Saturday at 9:00 a.m. ET.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills -6.5

Over/Under: 51.5 

This is my single favorite matchup of the entire weekend. Buffalo's passing game is built to create explosive plays, which it did as well as any team in the league this season. Indianapolis' defense is explicitly built on the idea of limiting explosive plays in the passing game, which it did as well as any team in the league this season. So, what happens when the unstoppable force meets the immovable object?

There are a couple things that may actually be working in the Colts' favor here. The first is that the Colts are an extraordinarily zone-heavy team, and the Bills found their most passing success against man coverage. Indianapolis played zone on 77.7 percent of opponent dropbacks this season, per Pro Football Focus and Tru Media, one of the highest rates in the league. Meanwhile, take a look at these passing numbers for Allen. 

Note: PFF and Tru Media exclude shovel passes, jet sweep touch passes, and certain types of goal line plays from these coverage numbers. Allen went 20 of 31 for 92 yards, 13 touchdowns, and zero interceptions on excluded plays. A look at the film reveals only one of the 13 touchdowns came against zone coverage.

Coverage Man Zone Comp 152 222 Att 224 312 Comp % 67.9% 71.2% Yds 1982 2446 YPA 8.8 7.8 TD 19 5 INT 1 9 QB Rtg 121.9 87.4 EPA/Play 0.36 0.19

What's most interesting about that trend is that it's actually a reversal from what happened during Allen's first two seasons under center, when he was more efficient against zone coverages than he was against man. It makes sense on a certain level, though, because Buffalo's offense evolved to become much more about crossing patterns and winning one-on-one matchups. When you have players like Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasley, John Brown, and Gabriel Davis, you want to put them in the best position to succeed, and the Bills did exactly that throughout this season. 

Of course, Beasley and Brown are both listed as questionable for this game after not practicing at all on Wednesday and getting in limited sessions on Thursday. While Brown's absence earlier in the season seemed to affect Allen's performance, they have been able to get by of late with Davis filling that role opposite Diggs on the outside. If they have to play without Beasley, though, that could be really damaging against this Indianapolis defense. Beasley is by far the team's best zone-beater, and his and Allen's chemistry on option routes has been their best chance of moving the ball against teams that sit back and dare the Bills to dink and dunk downfield. Beasley is a master at finding the soft spots between defenders, turning around to give his quarterback a target, and then evading a tackler to gain quick, easy yards after the catch. How Buffalo decides to attack Indianapolis' coverage if Beasley is out, is an open question.

Of course, the Bills also may have some things working to their advantage. Because the Colts so often play zone, they also very rarely blitz, sending at least one extra rusher after the opposing quarterback on only 17 percent of opponent dropbacks. Allen, meanwhile, was blitzed on 37 percent of his dropbacks, one of the highest rates in the league. Granted, blitzing the Bills is part of what allows Allen to use his legs to either take off downfield or create something out of nothing outside the pocket. But sitting back in coverage also reduces the likelihood of getting any pressure on Allen at all, and he has just completely shredded defenses when afforded a clean pocket this season. 

It'll be important for the Colts that DeForest Buckner and Grover Stewart decisively win their matchups on the inside, and that Bucker in particular generates quick pressure up the middle, moving Allen off his spot. It will be even more important that their edge rushers don't allow Allen to break contain -- especially to his right, which is how so many of his big plays this season have begun. Keeping Allen boxed into the pocket takes away some of what makes the Buffalo passing game so special and so explosive, but it is easier said than done. And even doing that still leaves a lot of pressure on the secondary to deal with one of the game's best pass-catcher corps. 

Want some action on the NFL? Place your legal sports bets on this game or others in CO, IN, NJ, and WV at BetMGM. 

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